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Baton Rouge Stock Market

February 25, 2020 //  by Lucas Downey//  Leave a Comment

In French, baton rouge means red stick.

In Louisiana, French explorer, Iberville, was moving along the Mississippi River when he saw a stick that appeared red. He named the region, Baton Rouge.

That red stick marked a boundary for local Native American tribes.

Big Money Index Says Sellers Are In Control

For Mapsignals, a red stick also means a boundary. On January 30, we wrote how our data is changing. Selling is picking up.

Our Big Money Index has a big red stick on it. It acts like a boundary in our research. Typically you don’t want to add stocks in that area. You want to wait for a pullback.

Now, we can take it a step further and see how big the selling was yesterday. The takeaway is how big selling usually brings more big selling.

The Big Money Flows in Phases

So, where are we in the stream of things? Here’s how the big money flows:

  1. Big money rushes in and selling is non-existent (where we were for months…think FOMO)
  2. Big money buying slows and selling picks up a bit (that’s where we’ve been the last few weeks, until yesterday)
  3. Big money buying slows further and selling grows – (this is when the BMI starts falling towards 50% and lower. We are approaching this phase)
  4. Big money buying is gone, and sellers are in control – (this is when the media blasts bear articles…it’s when you want to get those buy tickets out)

It looks like this:

So, what’s the game plan?

Once we break below 50% -I get excited. That’s when many professional investors are forced to sell stocks because they get the tap on the shoulder from their risk manager.

Let’s embrace the pullback and be patient. Embrace the red stick.

Bottom line: Like many of us, you may have missed the train of selling that happened at the end of January. It was like a flash sell-off, lasting just a day.

We will keep our cool and focus on patience and process like we discussed last week.

Right now it’s a red train approaching the platform.

When the attendant yells, “tickets please!” We’ll be showing our tickets… and you can bet they won’t be sell tickets.

Lucas Downey
Lucas Downey

Lucas is co-founder of MAPsignals. His full bio can be found here.
Prior to MAP, he was Head of ETF Sales at Cantor Fitzgerald & SVP of Derivatives at Jefferies, LLC.

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mapsignals
mapsignals avatar; MAPsignals @mapsignals ·
18h 1622987016957820928

One of my favorite #dividend #stocks having a day - Skyworks Solutions $SWKS - owned it for years

The $2B buyback is pretty significant given the market cap is sub $19B

#Semiconductors continue to see major inflows

Reply on Twitter 1622987016957820928 Retweet on Twitter 1622987016957820928 0 Like on Twitter 1622987016957820928 2 Twitter 1622987016957820928
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